Tactical Allocations

Long overdue performance update. Markets have been going strong based mostly on Government stimulus.  While this makes me very nervous, my model says things look good and so it has been adding risk  Performance Charts: Cumulative Returns show the Enhanced portfolio made some strong gains in November and is close to matching the TA portfolio in the long run. Recent returns have strongly favored the Enhanced portfolio as all of its picks have outperformed over the past 3 months.

Big update below because I have been negligent in keeping my spreadsheet up to date.  Below you will find the November 2nd trades, followed by the December 2nd trades.  I will follow up with a performance update through December 8th in a separate post.   Trades made on November 2nd 2020 Equal Weight Portfolio: No trades TA Portfolio: Cash balance prior to trade $448.52 Sold  94 shares of  AGG  at $117.33 with $0.23 SEC Fee. Total proceeds $11,028.79 Bought 91 shares of  VTWO  at $125.19 with $0 commission. Total cost $11,392.29 Ending cash balance of $85.02 Enhanced TA Portfolio: Cash balance prior to trade $843.59 Sold 367 shares of  GOVT   at $27.68 with $0.22 SEC Fee. Total proceeds $10,158.34 Bought 85 shares of  VTWO  at $125.19 with $0 commission. Total cost $10,641.15 Ending cash balance of $360.78 Trades made on December 1st 2020 Equal Weight Portfolio: Cash balance prior to trade $376.16 Bought 3 shares of AGG at $117...

The markets have recovered to the point where I am now moving back into large cap equity VONE .  I will be selling AGG  as that was the purchase one year ago and will use the proceeds to buy VONE in both the TA  and  Enhanced  portfolios . I will make these trades today, Monday November 2, 2020 and will post the details of the trades later today. Note: The sells are approximately 1/12th of the total portfolio and will be made tomorrow. This will bring my Investment Grade Bond holdings to 0%. The Equal portfolio:   Buy as much  AGG  as I can with cash in the account. The TA portfolio: Sell 95 shares of  AGG Buy as much  VONE  as possible with proceeds and cash  The Enhanced portfolio: Sell 87 shares of AGG Buy as much  VONE  as possible with proceeds and cash Allocation Prior to trades: Large Cap Equity (VONE):     26%   Small Cap Equity (VTWO):     34%   High Yield Debt (JNK): ...

 I continue the move into small cap equity this month. In both the TA and Enhanced portfolios  I will buy  VTWO . TA will be selling AGG .and the Enhanced portfolio will be selling the rest of GOVT . I will make these trades today, Monday November 2, 2020 and will post the details of the trades later today. Note: The sells are approximately 1/12th of the total portfolio and will be made later today. The Equal portfolio:   Buy as much  JNK  as I can with cash in the account. The TA portfolio: Sell 94 shares of  AGG Buy as much  VTWO  as possible with proceeds and cash  The Enhanced portfolio: Sell 367 shares of  GOVT Buy as much  VTWO  as possible with proceeds and cash Allocation Prior to trades: Large Cap Equity (VONE):     34%   Small Cap Equity (VTWO):     17%   High Yield Debt (JNK):            32%    Inv. Grade Debt (AGG):     ...

 I apologize for not posting for awhile.  Below is some information in brief form to catch up: Market Overview: These markets are very strange.  It seems that recently the only thing one needs to monitor is how much stimulus the Government is providing.  If it is increasing then you want to be in equities, if it is decreasing you want to be in bonds. I do not believe this is healthy nor sustainable and it causes deep concern for me. Update on performance:  The enhanced portfolio continues to do well in recent months. Sept 1st Trades: Equal Weight Portfolio: No Trades in this portfolio TA Portfolio: Cash balance prior to trade $347.29 Sold  103 shares of  AGG  at $118.24 with $0.22 SEC Fee. Total proceeds $12,178.50 Bought 99 shares of  VTWO  at $126.26 with $0 commission. Total cost $12,499.74 Ending cash balance of $26.05 Enhanced TA Portfolio: Cash balance prior to trade $466.62 Sold 87 shares of AGG   at $118.24 with $0.21 SEC Fe...

I continue the move into small cap equity this month. In the  Enhanced portfolio  I will add to the Gabelli Global Small & Mid Cap Value Trust  GGZ . In the TA portfolio I will buy  VTWO . Both funds will be selling AGG . I will make these trades on Monday September 1, 2020 and will post the details of the trades later that day. Note: The sells are approximately 1/12th of the total portfolio and will be made later today. The Equal portfolio:   Buy as much JNK as I can with cash in the account. The TA portfolio: Sell 103 shares of  AGG Buy as much  VTWO  as possible with proceeds and cash  The Enhanced portfolio: Sell 87 shares of  AGG Buy as much  GGZ  as possible with proceeds and cash Allocation Prior to trades: Large Cap Equity (VONE):     34%   Small Cap Equity (VTWO):      9%   High Yield Debt (JNK):            33%    Inv. Grade Debt (AGG)...

 Below are the trades made within the portfolio's on August 3rd 2020 followed by a listing of the current holdings in each portfolio. Equal Weight Portfolio: No Trades in this portfolio TA Portfolio: Cash balance prior to trade $281.82 Sold  98 shares of  AGG  at $119.25 with $0.22 SEC Fee. Total proceeds $11,686.28 Bought 99 shares of  VTWO  at $120.25 with $0 commission. Total cost $11,904.75 Ending cash balance of $63.35 Enhanced TA Portfolio: Cash balance prior to trade $466.38 Sold 368 shares of  GOVT   at $28.19 with $0.21 SEC Fee. Total proceeds $10,373.71 Bought xxxxx shares of  GGZ  at $9.51 with $0 commission. Total cost $10,831.89 Ending cash balance of $8.20 The Portfolios after the trades on 8/3/2020: Equal Weight Portfolio:   Cash = $226.25 VONE  = 225 Shares VTWO  = 247 Shares AGG  = 248 Shares JNK  = 273 Shares TA Portfolio: Cash = $63.35 VONE   = 311 Shares AGG  = 390 Shares JNK ...